发展到现在，各方和平下台是非常有难度的，两种假设输赢两种情景：如果乌克兰赢了，在欧洲支持下重建，新一代马歇尔计划，欧洲东扩的mini版全球化受益，乌克兰投资，基建，工厂，产品送给西欧，人口恢复，房地产恢复，整个正向反馈循环，哎，不得不说虽然战争很残酷，但战争后也是经济最好的高光时刻，如果是一个全球投机分子，这种情况会带来不错的投资机会； 当然如果乌克兰输了，俄罗斯吞并乌克兰，那估计经济层面估计不会有啥投机的机会逻辑；
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